Keo hai doi ghi ban – Vu khi bi mat cua dan ca cuoc thong minh ma it nguoi khai thac het

Keo hai doi ghi ban, hay con goi la BTTS (Both Teams To Score), khong phai la loai keo qua xa la voi nguoi choi lau nam. Nhung dieu dang noi la phan lon bet thu van xem no nhu mot lua chon phu, mot kieu choi "cho vui" ben canh keo chau A hay tai xiu. Cach nhin do khien ho bo lo mot trong nhung thi truong co ty le thang on dinh nhat hien nay. Neu ban chiu kho ngoi phan tich, keo hai doi ghi ban co the tro thanh nguon loi nhuan deu dan, tham chi con de doan hon ca keo chap trong nhieu tinh huong cu the.

Xem them tai: Ty le keo

Ban chat cua keo hai doi ghi ban cuc ky don gian: ban chi can du doan ca hai doi deu co it nhat mot ban thang trong tran dau, bat ke ty so chung cuoc ra sao. Tran dau ket thuc 2-1, 3-2 hay 1-1 deu khien ban thang keo. Chi co hai ket qua lam ban thua: mot trong hai doi khong ghi duoc ban nao, hoac tran dau ket thuc voi ty so hoa 0-0. Vay nen thay vi phai dau dau du doan doi nao thang, ban chi can tra loi mot cau hoi duy nhat: hang cong cua hai ben co du suc xuyen thung hang thu doi phuong hay khong.

Diem hap dan nhat cua loai keo nay nam o viec no loai bo yeu to may rui tu ket qua chung cuoc. Mot doi bong co the choi te, thua 0-3 nhung chi can ho co mot ban danh du o phut 90 thi keo hai doi ghi ban van "no" deu. Vi du ro rang nhat la tran dau giua Manchester City va Liverpool tai Etihad mua giai 2023-2024, ket thuc voi ty so 1-1. Ca hai doi deu so huu hang cong thuoc top dau chau Au, voi Erling Haaland ghi 27 ban va Mohamed Salah ghi 24 ban tai Premier League mua do. Bat ky ai dat keo hai doi ghi ban o tran dau nay deu thang cuoc mot cach nhe nhang, trong khi nhung nguoi choi keo chau A phai vat lon voi viec chon cua tren hay cua duoi.

Nhung dung voi nghi rang cu doi manh cong, doi yeu thu la dat bua duoc. Co nhung nguyen tac cu the ban phai nam, va nguyen tac dau tien la kiem tra phong do ghi ban tren san nha va san khach mot cach rieng biet. Mot doi bong nhu Atletico Madrid duoi thoi Diego Simeone thuong choi cuc ky chat che tren san nha, giu sach luoi toi 70% so tran tai Wanda Metropolitano. Neu ho tiep don mot doi thu yeu hon nhu Getafe hay Cadiz, kha nang tran dau ket thuc ma doi khach khong ghi duoc ban la rat cao. Dat keo hai doi ghi ban trong truong hop nay gan nhu tu sat. Nguoc lai, nhung tran dau giua hai doi tam trung o Bundesliga nhu Werder Bremen gap Hoffenheim thuong co xac suat ca hai doi ghi ban len toi 65%, boi ca hai deu choi tan cong coi mo nhung hang thu lai mac loi vi tri lien tuc.

Thong ke tu mua giai 2023-2024 cho thay ty le keo hai doi ghi ban thanh cong o giai Ngoai hang Anh la khoang 52%, trong khi o Eredivisie Ha Lan con so nay cao hon han, len toi 61%. Nguyen nhan den tu triet ly bong da tan cong cua cac CLB Ha Lan, noi hau nhu khong co doi bong nao chap nhan keo ca doi ve phan san nha de bao ve ty so. Ajax, PSV va Feyenoord deu choi pressing tam cao, khien cac tran dau tai giai nay luon co tu 3 ban tro len. Neu ban muon thu suc voi keo hai doi ghi ban, giai Ha Lan va giai Duc la hai moi truong ly tuong nhat de bat dau, boi loi choi cua ho gan nhu khong cho phep ket qua 0-0 xay ra thuong xuyen.

Mot meo nua ma it nguoi chia se: hay chu y den thoi diem cac doi bong lon phai thi dau giua tuan o cup chau Au. Khi Manchester United phai lam khach tai Champions League vao thu Tu va sau do da tran derby voi Manchester City vao cuoi tuan, hang thu cua ho thuong thieu tap trung trong 20 phut dau tran. Cac doi bong nho hon nhu Brentford hay Fulham hoan toan co the tan dung dieu nay de ghi ban truoc, khien keo hai doi ghi ban tro nen sang nuoc ngay tu hiep mot. Nguoc lai, neu mot doi bong dang dua tru hang ma phai gap doi dau bang tren san khach, ho thuong choi tu thu voi 10 nguoi truoc khung thanh. Truong hop nay keo hai doi ghi ban gan nhu chac chan thua, boi doi yeu khong co y dinh tan cong ngay tu dau.

Cach quan ly von khi choi keo hai doi ghi ban cung khac han so voi keo chau A. Vi ty le an thuong dao dong quanh muc 1.80 den 2.10, tuong duong voi xac suat thang khoang 50%, ban khong nen don qua 5% tong so von vao mot tran dau. Thay vao do, hay chon ra 3 hoac 4 tran co phan tich ro rang nhat trong ngay va dat cuoc deu nhau. Mot sai lam chet nguoi cua nhieu nguoi moi la co ghep keo hai doi ghi ban vao cac ve cuoc xien dai 5 hoac 6 chan. Xac suat de ca 6 tran deu co ca hai doi ghi ban chi khoang 1.5%, thap hon nhieu so voi tuong tuong cua ho, du moi tran rieng le nhin qua co ve "chac an".

Cuoi cung, hay luon kiem tra danh sach cau thu ra san truoc khi dat cuoc. Mot doi bong mat di tien dao chu luc ghi 15 ban moi mua se co kha nang ghi ban giam di dang ke, du ho van con nhung ngoi sao khac tren hang cong. Lay vi du Tottenham Hotspur mua giai truoc: khi Son Heung-min vang mat vi chan thuong, doi bong nay chi ghi duoc trung binh 0.8 ban moi tran thay vi 1.9 ban khi co anh tren san. Su chenh lech do du de bien mot keo hai doi ghi ban tuong chung an toan thanh tham hoa. Nguoc lai, neu ca hai doi deu co day du luc luong tan cong tot nhat va tran dau khong mang y nghia qua quan trong ve mat ty so, ban co the tu tin xuong tien ma khong can dan do qua nhieu. Keo hai doi ghi ban khong phai la con duong lam giau nhanh chong, nhung neu biet cach chon tran va quan ly von ky luat, no se la mot kenh dau tu ben vung cho bat ky ai dam me ca cuoc bong da.